Tag Archives: Commuters

News

Commuters tripled COVID-19 cases in UK before lockdown

Commuters moving between different counties increased COVID cases in the UK significantly before lockdown was imposed, according to new research by Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU).

The study, conducted by Professor Thomas Plümper, looked into spatial contagion between local counties in England and found that cross district spatial contagion adds a very important amplifier to an already infectious disease.

As a result of the cross district spatial contagion, such as commuting, one additional individual per 100,000 is infected in other districts. This was shown to raise infections by a staggering total of 241 newly infected individuals per 100,000 people on average after seven weeks in the pre-lockdown period.

In contrast, if working from home was implemented earlier, the absence of spatial contagion would have meant that one additionally newly infected person, would only result in 72 newly infected individuals per 100,000 people by week seven.

“In other words, the high degree of spatial contagion during the pre-lockdown period roughly triples the number of cases. This is because in modern times, there is a faster and stronger spatial contagion than, for example, during the times of the plague. Mankind is more mobile and people travel longer distances at much higher speeds,” says Professor Plümper from the Department of Socioeconomics at WU.

However, the results also show that measures of social distancing not only managed to break the exponential growth of new infections within a region, but also drastically reduce the spread of the disease across local boarders.

For this reason, the researchers support a shift to local policies aimed at controlling the pandemic, which was successful in countries like Germany when the pandemic first hit.

They add that governments should move to decentralised control policies once the worst is over and weekly new infections have declined to low two-digit numbers per 100,000 people.

“We expect that decentralised, federal countries will find it easier to organise local control strategies, but one could hope that more centralised nation-states will eventually overcome the institutional disadvantages they face and also manage to successfully employ local strategies to keep the pandemic at bay,” says Professor Plumper.

The study was published in the journal Social Science and Medicine.

For more information please visit: https://www.wu.ac.at/en/

News, Transport

6 out of 10 London commuters will change the way they travel when the return to work begins, finds research by Addison Lee

6 out of 10 London commuters will change the way they travel when the return to work begins, research by Addison Lee has found, with COVID-19 safety concerns changing transport demand patterns.

In a survey of 1,000 commuters across the capital’s 32 boroughs, 56% of commuters who travel into London said that they plan to do their journey to work differently, with many already clear about changes they’ll make:

– 55% plan to change the time of their commute to avoid peak hours
– 49% plan to use their own vehicle – up from 23% pre-pandemic
– 28% plan to complete at least part of their journey on foot
– 40% plan to use private hire vehicles as part of their journey

The survey suggests that planned changes to the commute stem from a lack of confidence in public transport amid continued safety concerns. 69% of London commuters say that, even with the introduction of face coverings, taking public transport to and from work makes them feel anxious, while 72% say that they will avoid using the tube during their commute unless essential when they return to work. 70% also say they are concerned at the thought of colleagues using public transport.

In response to the findings, Addison Lee is asking the London COVID-19 Transition Board, co-chaired by Sadiq Khan and Housing Secretary Robert Jenrick, to make the safe return to work a priority and actively work with all the capital’s transport providers on a common set of safety standards. This will give commuters confidence to return to work using a variety of means of transport that respect social distancing and the capital’s environmental needs. In addition to use of face coverings and respecting the recommended social distance, these standards are:

– Installation of partition screens
– Availability of hand sanitiser on transport and at termini
– Regular deep disinfection of both transport and termini
– Mandatory regular provision by transport providers of PPE for transport workers

Liam Griffin, Addison Lee’s CEO, said: “Our research shows a clear shift away from commuting on public transport due to safety concerns. To ensure that all modes of transport can play their part in helping Londoners back to work safely and in a manner that supports the environment, we need a common set of safety standards that give consumers confidence to travel, no matter who the provider is. Addison Lee wants to work with the London COVID-19 Transition Board and other stakeholders to agree this and help our capital back to work.”

The proposed safety standards are based on the research findings into what additional safety measures could give London commuters greater peace-of-mind when travelling on all forms of transport in the future. When asked what safety measures would make them feel more confident about travelling to and from work, the survey found:

– 80% said Private Hire Vehicles should be allowed to install safety screens to protect drivers and passengers
– 69% said regular disinfection of public transport
– 65% said the enforcement of social distancing
– 65% said the installation of partition screens in trains, buses and tubes
– 62% said readily available hand sanitiser on public transport

In response to COVID-19, Addison Lee has sought to protect both drivers and passengers with the highest standards of hygiene and safety through its Safer Journey Initiative, which includes:

– Partition screens installed across its fleet of 4000 vehicles
– Regular electrostatic disinfection of all its vehicles, killing 99.9% of all germs
– Weekly provision of PPE equipment, including masks, disinfectant and hand sanitiser to all its drivers, ensuring cars are cleaned after every journey
– Introduction of customer ratings for drivers based on the cleanliness of the vehicle
– Mobile Vehicle Inspectors checking cleanliness of hundreds of cars every day